Week 8 observations

What a week 8 it was for the household.  The Steelers get past New England and have now created some debate as to who is the top team in the AFC and the Eagles smoke the Cowboys and are hopefully rounding into shape for a run to the playoffs.

Eagles:  Any win against division rival Dallas is a big one – doing it in convincing 34-7 fashion made it that much more enjoyable.   This was as close to a perfect game as they could play – no turnovers, well more than 200 yards rushing, more than 250 yards passing, a significant time of possession difference.  I’m going to keep saying what I’ve been saying since week one – the Eagles offensive line is one of the top run blocking lines in the NFL, and in the past two weeks, their play calling has adjusted the play mix to this reality.   Give McCoy credit for his running, but he had massive holes to run through all night.   Peters on the left side was a monster, Herremans on the right was tremendous in the traps and draws to his side.  Celek, not well known as a run blocking TE, sealed the edges on runs all night.    Defensively, I didn’t see one blitz all game.  The coverage was outstanding and the front four got enough pressure on Romo to create a couple of sacks and hurry a number of his throws.   This defence looks like it’s starting to gel.    A completely dominant performance from top to bottom – it was a great game to watch! 

Steelers:  They managed to keep the Patriots off the field and the ball out of Brady’s hands with 5 drives of more than 10 plays.  It looked like the Steelers stole the Pats playbook and used it against them with 50 passes in the game, many of the short/intermediate variety to keep the chains moving.   The Steelers secondary was outstanding in coverage all night.   Underneath routes were well covered, and there was never anyone running free down the field for Brady to find.    The Steelers are an under-appreciated passing team.   Roethlisberger doesn’t look smooth, but he’s highly effective and needs to be considered among the top QBs in the league.

A few other things I saw in what was otherwise a Sunday of underwhelming match-ups on paper:

  • Patriots – If anyone other than Belichick put together this defence, there would be mass mockery of that individual.  The Pats defence has let the team down the past few seasons and is poised to do so again.   Some of Belichick’s shine as a personnel genius is wearing off.   You have to be able to win games in multiple ways and right now it doesn’t look like the Pats defence can win a game or cover up for a sub par offensive day.  On the other side of the ball, with no deep threat (wasn’t that supposed to be Ochocinco and why hasn’t he been cut yet?), teams with reasonable corners are going to play press coverage, take away space underneath and dare the Pats to beat them throwing deep.  Not all teams have the personnel to do this, but if the playoffs go through the Jets, Steelers, or Bengals, the Pats are going to struggle unless they find a deep threat to open up the field.
  • I continue to think Baltimore is overrated.  Yes they had a wonderful comeback from 24 down to win, but it should never have been that close against Arizona.  I’m not sure they can string together the 3-4 playoff wins in a row to be Super Bowl champs this year.
  • Washington is a mess.  Much of it has to do with an OL that has been decimated by injuries.   It’s good to see Shanahan lose – he’s got to be one of the most overrated NFL coaches. 
  • Detroit really rubbed it into Denver in their 45-10 beat-down.  Tebow looks completely lost, and to add insult to injury, was mocked at every turn by the Lions defenders.  
  • Good to see St Louis get their first win of the year.  Early in the 2nd quarter with the game close, they went for it on 4th and 2 from around mid-field.  After they were successful, you could see the emotion build.  Later, 4th and 2 from inside the Saints 40, they went for it and were successful again.  I loved the calls as they have nothing to lose and I think it helped spur them on to a victory no one saw coming.
  • The Chargers must frustrate their fans like the Eagles to do theirs.   Fighting from behind all game, a fumbled snap costs them a chance for a last second winning field goal before they lose in OT.   A fumbled snap on what was a straight ahead run play is inexcusable.   Suddenly the AFC West is a 3 team race now.

Snacks:  Because of Sobeys’ lack of ingredients for a Queso Fundido (that’ll be next week), I went with pita chips early and relied on an old trustworthy (and easy) slow cooker rib recipe for supper so we wouldn’t have to take our eyes off the Steelers game (2.5 lbs of back ribs liberally salted/peppered and browned in a frying pan on all sides; then added to a slow cooker with 500ml of Coke, garlic salt, 1/3 cup of soya sauce and 1.5 cups of brown sugar for about 5 hours on low).  Put together with some fries/aioli and a delicious Steam Whistle (smuggled back from a recent trip to Toronto) and it looks a little something like this:

Week 7 observations

It’s the Eagles’ bye week, so for me, it was a fun Sunday of watching football without much emotionally invested.   I watched most of the Jets-Chargers game early, the Steelers-Cardinals game late afternoon then the Saints-Colts game late (with NFL Redzone running throughout to keep me posted on everything else)  Here’s a few things I saw:

Tim Tebow: So I was wrong in my prediction that he wouldn’t see the field this year.  For a bit more than three quarters, he was absolutely terrible.   He looked confused, started to run around whenever he felt any pressure and was as inaccurate as any QB I’ve seen in a while.  Truly, it was one of the worst performances I’ve ever seen by a quarterback, and it was against one of the league’s worst defences.  But (and a big but), in the end, he rallied his team past the Dolphins.   Good on him for getting his team the win, but much tougher challenges lay ahead for him.

Coaches of bad teams coaching scared:

(1) Arizona scores to close the gap to 12 points against Pittsburgh with less than 4 minutes to go in the 4th quarter.   Instead of attempting an onside kick (they need 2 possessions to have any chance of winning), they kick deep and never see the ball again.  

(2) Minnesota plays a competitive game against perhaps the top team in the league and is losing by 6 to the Packers with less than 3 minutes to play.  On a 4th and 10, they elect to punt (with the hope that they can use their timeouts and get the ball back for a game winning drive) – they never see the ball again.  

It baffles me that coaches of teams with nothing to lose continually make ultra conservative decisions like these.   By making the conservative calls, they are taking the heat of failure off themselves and putting it on their players (I’m not sure I’ve ever read that tactic in any book on leadership).   Every week you’ll see a couple of examples of this type of coaching behaviour, but never from championship-caliber teams.

Chargers slipping?:  I think Darren Sproles was more important to this team than many thought.  They lack a dynamic backfield presence, and that’s allowing opposition linebackers to help out in underneath coverage on short passing routes.   Their offence against the Jets looked confused at times (none more so than during their 4th quarter 2 minute drill where they couldn’t get plays called and when Rivers threw a pass out of bounds to avoid a sack on 4th down that ended the game).   With Kansas City suddenly coming on, perhaps they’ll be in for a challenge for the NFC west title.  The Chargers do have a habit of improving through the course of the season, so perhaps the loss to the Jets was just a bad day at the office.

Defences catching up:  The days of video game style offences seem to be cooling off (well, except for the 62 points that the Saints hung on the Colts).  Although the NFL is still a pass-oriented offensive league, the gap between offence and defence has narrowed as the affects of the lock-out on defences have mostly vanished after 7 weeks of practice and games.

Colts:  I probably should write about the Saints and their 62 points, but the Colts defence offered absolutely no resistance.   The Saints ran 30 offensive plays and put up 28 points before they had to convert a 3rd down.  Receivers were running wide open by 20 yards in places.  Granted, the Colts lack talent in their secondary, but they looked poorly coached.  If ever a team looked like it gave up on a game, it was the Colts on Sunday night. 

Steelers quietly win another game:  Without much fanfare, the Steelers have rolled off a couple of wins in a row.   Roethlisberger was as impressive as ever when scrambling to make passes downfield.  For the first time in years, the Steelers have speed to burn at WR.  The match-up next week against the Pats should be a great high scoring affair.   I foresee Brady and Roethlisberger battling to see who can get the ball last with a chance to win the game on the final drive.

Ravens offensive woes:  Their Monday night game was horrible.  No first downs until well into the 3rd quarter.   Joe Flacco looking like a rookie for most of the night.  That team can look spectacular one week and downright awful the next.  I still feel they’re not a true Super Bowl contender because of their ability to stink up the joint on any given day.

After 3+ weeks of almost constant traveling (10 places in 23 days in 5 countries), it was a week for easy repeat snacks.   Previously made and frozen pretzels early with nacho dip later in the afternoon. A nice twist this week was a 1L jug of homemade beer from Jodi’s brother.   It’s was outstanding with had a European blonde/wheat flavour.

Week 6 observations

After missing last week’s games (seriously, I couldn’t find a bar in Milan that carried any NFL action), I was really excited to set up the dual televisions and enjoy the last day of vacation from my sofa.   With Jodi traveling to Moncton for work for the next few days, I was on my own for snack making.  Really happy with what I pulled together…

Pita chips (pita split in half, brushed with garlic/rosemary olive oil, seasoned with salt, pepper, garlic and onion powder – about 7-9 mins in a 300F oven)

Pulled pork sandwiches (pork shoulder seared on all sides then dropped in a slow cooker for 8 hours with a sauce made from cooking onions/garlic in the pork fat then adding dark rum, chili sauce, ketchup, brown sugar, worcestershire sauce, chili powder, and liquid smoke):

A couple of things from the games I watched most closely:

Eagles come back from the dead:  Nice to see my team play like it cared this week.   Their tackling was much better than it has been all year and they held the Redskins rushing attack in check.   The defence looked solid, but when you get to play against Rex Grossman, you’ve got to take the 4 interceptions with a grain of salt.   The Eagles continue to have an under appreciated run blocking offensive line.  I’ve been saying that for weeks, but against Washington, there were a number of well executed blocking schemes that opened up huge holes for McCoy to run through.  The Eagles are lucky to have Todd Herremans – he’s very versatile and played left tackle this week due to other injuries and looked great all game long.  Kudos to the coaching staff for a solid game plan and for sticking with the run.  The Eagles are off on a bye next week, and at 2-4 are very much still in danger of missing the playoffs.  Interestingly, the Eagles have never lost coming out of a bye week with Andy Reid as coach.  The match-up on Oct 30th against Dallas will be a big one.

49ers could be for real:  Their game against the Lions hurt to watch.  It was full of penalties, bad refereeing and incomplete passes and took more than 3:30 to complete.   However, the come from behind win and the dust up between the coaches at the end of the game made for good TV.  The 49ers play in a weak division and may only need 2-3 more wins to secure a playoff spot.   They’re solid on both sides of the ball and have very good special teams.

Cowboys-Patriots game: Both coaches made fundamental tactical mistakes in this game.  At the end of the first half, Belichick didn’t use his timeouts to stop the clock during Dallas’ scoring drive and ended up with all 3 timeouts unused.   Had he even used one to stop the clock, he would have given his offence another opportunity to score in the first half.  In the second half, it was the Dallas coaching staff making the mistakes.  Their conservative play calling late in the game made it obvious they were settling for a field goal and a 3 point lead.  That left Tom Brady with ample time for a game winning TD drive.   It was a classic example of a coach making decisions so that the blame would rest on his defence for losing, rather than on him for making more aggressive play calls.   You never want to count on your defence to win a game for you with a few minutes left – especially when they’re facing a pro bowl caliber QB.

Week 4 Observations

For the second week in a row, I must begin with an Eagles rant.  There are three phases of football – offence, defence and special teams – and frankly, the Eagles found ways to screw up in all three (not to mention some spectacularly boneheaded coaching as well).

Offence: On the surface, the stat sheet looks pretty good (Vick throws for over 400 yds and actually plays the whole game).  Look closer and you’ll see only 9 rushes for McCoy – Andy Reid once again falls in love with the passing game and forgets he has a real running game to rely on.   There were drops at key times by Maclin and Jackson (Vick could have thrown for 500+ without the drops).  Maclin had a weak fumble after a large gain late in the 4th quarter (not to mention he was caught from behind by a 290lb defensive end).  When an offence puts up 500+ total yards and only scores 23 points, something is very wrong.

Defence: The secondary (especially the stars at CB) look disinterested in covering anyone (Asomugha missed tackles and got beat on a TD for the 3rd week in a row).  A relatively weak 49ers offence ripped big plays at will on the run, continuing to show a fundamental weakness the Eagles have.  In the past 3 games, the Eagles have had 4th quarter leads and have been outscored 36-0 in that span to lose all 3 games.  Everyone on defence is missing tackles.

Special teams: Two missed field goals by a rookie kicker.  If he makes one of those, the Eagles likely would have pulled out the win.

Coaching: Reid and his staff have always frustrated and baffled me.  Short yardage in the red zone and they’ve got Schmidt and Brown in the backfield and have Herremans lined up as an extra TE (in other words, they take out McCoy, Jackson and Avant for a key goal-to-go play).   Reid and his OC are trying to be the smartest guys in the room with what they cook up.  Here’s an idea, keep your best players on the field and let your $100M quarterback try to find a way to score.

Odds and ends from the other games I watched to take my mind off my 1-3 team:

  • The Redskins are out to an early share of the NFC East lead.  Rex Grossman’s prediction of a division title for them doesn’t seem so far fetched now, even if it did make me chuckle back in August.
  • The Cardinals-Giants game was surprisingly close and a great one to watch.   The officials made a terrible call in the 4th quarter on a Giants fumble (ruling the runner went down intentionally thereby nullifying the fumble – wrong call, and the next play was the Giants game winning TD)
  • Kevin Kolb has become too infatuated with throwing to Fitzgerald.   If he feels pressure, he’ll throw it up for grabs to Fitz.  That cost him an interception on a key drive in this game.  He also forced a 4th and 2 pass into Fitz who was tightly covered – the pass went incomplete and that was it for the Cardinals chances.  On the other side of the field, his TE was wide open, but he never looked there.
  • Love the Lions getting to 4-0 with yet another huge comeback win.  Romo gave away this game with interceptions meaning he’s been a hero twice and the goat twice this year.    Cowboys looking like an 8-8 team with the good-Romo bad-Romo quarterbacking this year.
  • Is Wes Welker open on every play?   The offensive line of the Patriots gives Brady a ton of time and allows Welker the time to run through inside coverage by safeties and linebackers (and you can’t jam him at the line because he lines up in the slot off the line of scrimmage), but really, take him away and let someone else beat you.
  • Jets-Ravens: In a season of completely ridiculous games (comebacks, video game stats), this one takes the cake.  Five returns for TDs including 4 by the defences.  The Jets O-line looked like it would get Sanchez killed.   Lots of chippy stuff between whistles.  A ton of penalties.  Two QBs who couldn’t complete any passes.  After the opening Thursday night Saints-Packers game, this one was the most fun game I’ve watched so far this year even though it was a sloppy mess.

Week 3 Observations

Great slate of week 3 games, but after watching my Eagles on Sunday afternoon, I’m not sure I can think about the rest of the league this week.  Simply put, my Eagles are in a wee bit of trouble.

The 1-2 start is bad enough, but the loss to the Giants was bad across the board – tackling the likes of which would get you cut from your pee wee team; the injury to Vick’s hand making him unlikely to start next week; a linebacking corps that keeps being exposed in the running game.  I could go on and on… getting no pressure on Eli, weak play out of the safeties, poor OL play especially in pass blocking, terrible play from the guys who got the big money in the off-season – Babin, Jenkins and Asomugha, Andy Reid’s game management goofs…. why do I cheer for this team?

“It’s only week 3” is a fair comeback as Eagles nation typically panics early in the season, but there were a couple of things that showed during the Giants game that are particularly worrisome:

  • The offence spent the entire game looking like it was trying to prevent Vick from getting hurt rather than trying to make plays.  Yes, Vick is injury prone.  Yes he suffered a concussion last week and was cleared to play.  But Sunday looked like a team trying not to lose a QB for the year rather than trying to win a game.  Ironically, that approach ended up with Vick hurting his hand.
  • Nnamdi Asomugha got burned big time on two TDs.  It takes a defence time to gel, but a cover corner needs to be able to cover.  He doesn’t look comfortable yet.   I’m hopeful this turns around, but his early performances aren’t encouraging.
  • Although the run blocking of the O-line looks pretty solid (and I’m very thankful that Andy Reid has remembered that running the ball is permissible in today’s game), the pass blocking is horrible.   This continues a trend of the past couple of years for the Eagles.  There’s a reason the best QBs in the league look so good – it’s because no one is hitting them every play.  According to ESPN, Vick is under duress on 30% of his pass attempts (worst in the league; league average of 19%).
  • Andy Reid is taking a lot of heat in the Philly media for his decision to go for it on 4th and 1 from mid field up 2 in the 4th quarter.  I’m ok with the decision, but he’s got to have a better play call.  A slow developing run against an athletic DL is a lousy call.
  • The play calling in short yardage was brutal.  In goal-to-go situations, they called a couple of tentative QB sneaks and a full back trap.  You’ve got the most athletic QB and WRs in the league – maybe try something creative – a roll-out, a play-action pass.  I can’t believe I’m actually complaining about the Eagles running the ball too much.

Life goes on, so time for some short snappers on the other games:

  • The Bills and Lions at 3-0 after massive comebacks that put a smile on my face.   Love that the Bills are doing it with a QB from Harvard.
  • The NFC West is really bad.  The Arizona-Seattle game should have been played to relegate one of those teams out of the league.  The 49ers won a 13-8 game in Cincinnati that petty criminals in that area should have been forced to watch as part of their debt to society.  Saint Louis got to 0-3 by losing by 30 at home.  That whole division should decline their playoff spot this year for the good of the game.
  • The Oakland-Jets game was the worst officiated game this year.  Made up and phantom calls all over the place and a roughing the passer call that is way out in front for the worst call of the year.
  • How is Tennessee 2-1 with their star running back not having run for 100 yards through 3 games?  
  • Mike Martz (offensive coordinator of the Bears) is going to get his QB killed this year.  How he keeps calling slow developing pass plays with a decimated offensive line is beyond me.  His QBs have been sacked 40+ times in each of the past 10 years yet he’s still employed… amazing!

Snacks were really good this week.  We made two salsas based on recipes from Rick Bayless and his amazing cookbook “Authentic Mexican” (on the left is a chipotle-based salsa, on the right is a salsa verde – both made with fresh tomatillos from the Halifax Seaport Market):

Week 2 Observations

There are weeks during the football season where I’m not sure if I’m more excited about the games or the food.  Looking at the week 2 schedule before Sunday, there weren’t many exciting match-ups (as result of the possible work stoppage, week 2 was designed without any divisional games to allow a possible delay to the start of the season with some scheduling magic) so I was leaning heavily to the snacks carrying the day:

1. Homemade fresh soft pretzels (http://www.epicurious.com/recipes/food/views/New-York-Pretzels-109221) with grainy mustard.  These freeze really well and the recipe makes enough for 8 pretzels. 

2. Big Monkey Kettle Corn from the Halifax Seaport Market

3. Philadelphia cheesesteaks (“wit wiz” in Philly-speak).  The key to doing this at home is to freeze the hunk of meat, then partially defrost it.  This makes it much easier to slice really thin.

The snacks were delicious and the football was better than expected.  Here’s what I saw during a pretty solid afternoon and evening of football:

1. Steelers bounce back – The 24-0 score flattered Seattle (if that’s possible).  Never at any time did this game feel in doubt.  Like last week, I wouldn’t read too much into the game as Seattle is cover-your-eyes bad.  That being said, there were a number of positives: some of the top defensive players had solid games – Polamalu was around the ball most of the afternoon and Harrison became visible as the game went on.  

2. Eagles – The loss to the Falcons drops them to 1-1.  It was a sloppy, yet exciting game to watch.   Turnovers, penalties, and the injury to Vick made this compelling television.  It was a typical Eagles loss – get behind early, launch a ferocious comeback, then lose because you can’t stop anyone late.

  • The good: Some excellent d-line play (Cole was dominant all night vs the run and the pass); the left side of the o-line did a reasonable job of run blocking all night (especially Peters at LT); McCoy is a real superstar and showed great elusiveness; Kafka coming in to replace Vick and showing some poise in a tough spot; Maclin’s 13 receptions for 170+ yards.
  • The bad: Turnovers (especially Vick continuing to not protect the ball – for all of the highlight reel runs and deep passes, if he doesn’t improve this, it’ll be the limiting factor for the Eagles success this year), the run defence surrendering huge chunks of yardage at points early and late in the game
  • The ugly: Reid electing not to challenge a play ruled as a catch (it wasn’t, and he actually got an apology from NBC who was covering the game since they didn’t show a replay quick enough on their broadcast for the coaching staff to see) then watching the Falcons score 2 plays later, Maclin’s drop on 4th down with the Eagles driving for a potential game winning TD, Vick’s injury and what it might mean over the next few games.

3. It’s a 16 game season – Most times, you’re never as good (or bad) as your week 1 performance would lead you to believe.  The Bears dominated the Falcons, then get beat pretty handily by the Saints.  The Ravens demolish the Steelers, then get completely run over by a Tennessee team that looked awful in week 1 against the Jags.   On any given Sunday….

4. Head shots – It’s good to see the league finally taking a stand and throwing penalty flags for hits to the head.   That’s a good first step.  The proper next step?  Deal with repeat offenders and blatant hits to the head that could be avoided.  Dunta Robinson of Atlanta is a repeat offender, twice delivering vicious blows to Eagles receivers – last year to Jackson, and this past week to Maclin.  It’s time for a suspension for this kind of behaviour.

5. From the “I could have told you this was going to happen file” – Jags starting QB McCown goes 6/19 with 4 INTs against the Jets and his tenure as the team’s starter is already in question.    In a year where their division is wide open for the taking, they entrust the team to this guy (and his unproven rookie backup) over David Garrard?   Looks like they made a purely financial decision to save about $8M thinking if they lose, they may as well lose cheaply. 

6. Tony Romo take 2 – He was dreadful late in last week’s game.  This week he plays through a fractured rib (or 2) to lead a 10 point comeback and an OT win.  The deep pass on the first play of OT was vintage Romo: an exceptional play action fake and an on point deep pass.  The 49ers defence  were all looking in the backfield and got fooled on the play.  Romo is up there with the best play action ball fakes of any QB in the league.

7. “You play to win the game” – It won’t show up in a box score, but I love the Patriots philosophy on offence.  Up 6 points with less than 12:00 left in the 4th quarter, they elect not to punt and go for it on 4th and 4 at mid field.  They didn’t make it and the announcers denounced the strategy (Side note on this: Has Phil Simms ever thought an aggressive play call was the right decision?  He calls a lot of Patriots games given he’s CBS’s top analyst and the Patriots play in the CBS marquee game many weeks. Week after week, when the Patriots make a bold call, he “tsk tsks” and says if it were up to him, he’d send out the punting unit…. and that’s why he’s talking about football and others are coaching football)  It’s easy to criticize a decision that doesn’t work out, but the overall philosophy is the one more teams should take – going for the win rather than playing not to lose.   The odds favour you (interesting reads on studies here and here) and if I had Tom Brady, I’d rather see him on the field with the ball than my defence (especially the Pats defence – more on that below).

8. Early favourite for worst team of the year: Kansas City.  Wow.  So bad.

9. Troubling trends that have been covered up so far: 

  • Green Bay’s secondary and pass defence – bad vs Saints, really bad vs the Panthers, but they’re 2-0. 
  • Carolina’s play calling – Cam Newton has thrown for 400+ yards in his first two games as a pro, but the Carolina coaches need to mix up the play calling if they want to actually win games.  It’s like they have a shiny new toy and forget they have a pretty reasonable run blocking O-line and running backs.
  • New England’s overall defence – At some point in a season, you need to make a few defensive stands to win a game.  This may never come back to bite them as Tom Brady, the receivers and their O-line are just humming along, but Miami and San Diego both have put up crazy offensive numbers that were overshadowed by what Brady did. 

10. I live with a football savant – I’ve got to give props to Jodi on her picking skills.  In her office pool, she’s way out in front after correctly picking a bunch of tricky to call games this week (Cleveland over Indy on the road, Buffalo over Oakland, Atlanta over Philly, Tampa over Minnesota on the road, Denver over Cincy).  Heading into Monday night, the only game she got wrong this week was Tennessee over Baltimore, but as a Steelers fan, she didn’t seem too upset about that one.

Week 1 Observations

It’s good to have football back and week 1 provided exceptionally compelling games.  Here’s what I watched and the snacks (and a few recipes) that accompanied the games.

Games watched intently: Eagles-Rams, Steelers-Ravens, Redskins-Giants, Chargers-Vikings, Packers-Saints, Jets-Cowboys, Patriots-Dolphins

Snacks:

The key to week 1 of every NFL season is to not overreact to everything you see.  It takes at least a few weeks to see trends, but saying that, here’s what I saw from week 1.

Eagles – I’ll always take 1-0 after week 1.  Vick looked at his athletic best, the offensive line didn’t look as bad as expected after a shaky start and the defence was spectacular in an understated way.  My favourite thing watching the defence was the pressure generated by the front 4 without needing to blitz.  I only counted 6 or 7 blitzes all game, and the 4 sacks the Eagles had all came from only a 4 man rush.  The Eagles look like they’ll struggle against the run this year, but that’s a problem to worry about another day.

Steelers – Let’s just say it was an unhappy household after the Steelers got drilled 35-7.  They looked old, slow and disinterested.  I didn’t see anything positive all game.  I’m not reading more into this than it being a one game beat down.  My bet is they take out their frustrations on Seattle at home next week.

O-lines: The guys in the trenches never get any credit.  Loved Baltimore’s LT McKinnie’s work in their run game.   Green Bay’s centre Wells was a beast against the Saints’ D-lineman in their run game.   Tom Brady owes many of his 500+ yards of passing to being able to stand in the pocket without fear of contact.  The Pats pass blocking was outstanding for most of their game.

Redskins defence – Last year the Redskins new coach, Mike Shanahan, blew up what was the previous year a top 5 NFL defence.  After adjusting defensive schemes to fit his philosophy (oh, the arrogance), his team’s defence tanked to be one of the worst in the league.   Against the Giants in week 1, the defence was flying to the ball, looked faster than last year, and generally created havoc.  If the Redskins get the defensive side of the ball right this year, they’ll contend for a wild card.

Tony Romo – Week one showed (again!) that this guy cannot be considered among the elite QBs in the league.  For 3 quarters, he looks like a hall-of-famer, then when the game is on the line, he chokes.  Against the Jets, he threw an inexcusable interception, fumbled in the red-zone and came apart at the seams in the 4th quarter like he usually does.  His ball security is terrible and legendary.  He’s the rich man’s Rex Grossman – a train wreck always waiting to happen.

Special teams and return games – This is an area where the shortened off-season was noticeable.  In week 1, if a team had speed and elusiveness in the kickoff or punt return game, you saw it – a combined 8 TDs on punt/kick returns and many, many more long returns.  The lack of practice time has special teams coverage behind in preparation.   I expect this will tighten up in the coming weeks.

Buffalo Bills uniforms and helmets – Completely love them.  If you squinted your eyes during their unexpected domination of Kansas City, you may have thought you were watching the glory days Bills. 

Brian Billick as TV analyst – He was the commentator in the booth during my Eagles game.  He’s pretty solid as a studio guy for taped segments, but is among the worst live analysts.  He gets names wrong, doesn’t see obvious parts of plays and generally gets in my way of enjoying a telecast.  Every time he calls a game I’m watching I want to unplug the centre speaker from my home theatre setup and listen to the game with crowd noise only.

Passing offence – Week 1 saw the highest passing yardage of any week in NFL history.  Even rookie Cam Newton threw for 400+ yards.   At this point in the season, receivers have the advantage as at least they know where there should be going at the snap – the defensive reactions are literally a step behind right now.

Peyton Manning is the undisputed MVP of the league – When you completely design an offence around the once-in-a-lifetime skills of one person, you get what happened to the Colts when he can’t play.  The entire Colts offence is based on Manning putting everyone in the perfect spot pre-snap to take advantage of the defence then running the play with the utmost precision.  All of the talking heads on TV make you think the Colts run a complex offence – they don’t.  They have something like 6 runs and 8-10 base pass plays.  Manning is smart enough to audible to the best play against the defence.  Their pass routes are precise and Manning is deadly accurate in putting the ball in exactly the right spot on each play.  Kerry Collins (or any other QB available to be picked up) can’t do any of those things – it’s going to be a long season in Indy.

Disappointment of the week: My television provider (Eastlink) didn’t carry the NFL RedZone channel in week 1, and even worse, tweeted out that it was on channel 440 (it wasn’t there or anywhere) then didn’t respond to multiple tweets from a number of football fanatics asking where they were hiding it.  It better show up next week.  I don’t know if I can manage flipping channels on 2 TVs for 6 hours next week.

    The most wonderful time of the year

    This is my favourite time of the year.  As a life-long student, September always signifies change, opportunity and new beginnings.  This is really my new year.  Plans are made and dreams take flight on cool fall breezes. 

    A big part of my love for the fall is the return of NFL football.   I’m a complete junkie.  Every Sunday at 2pm, you’ll find me on my sofa in front of 2 televisions (guilty admission: I hook up our second TV in the living room so I can follow more than one game at a time) for the start of about 11 hours of football.   The sport has hooked me for a couple of reasons:

    1.  The team I follow (the Philadelphia Eagles) typically comes tantalizingly close to being a championship team, only to break my heart in spectacularly creative new ways each year.  Oddly, this makes me come back for more abuse each season.

    2. Each week of the season is crucial.  With only 16 games, each one could be the game that puts your team over the top or kills your championship dreams. Week by week, you never have any idea what is going to happen.

    Predictions are a fool’s game for football fans.  Each year as the season approaches, I’ll make a bunch of bold predictions that only Jodi will hear sitting next to me while I disagree with football pundits on TV.   This year,  I’m going to put my thoughts on the season down in writing so I can later brag about what I got right, and so I can have some good laughs when February rolls around and I see that most of my predictions are dead wrong. 

    With only a few days to the start of the season and with my Eagles’ Super Bowl dreams wildly alive, here’s what I see for the 2011/12 NFL season:

    1. My Eagles aren’t going to win the Super Bowl.   I’ve been a sports fan my whole life.  My Montreal Expos – departed.  My Quebec Nordiques – gone (and won a championship the first season in their new home).  I feel doomed to never cheer for a winning team.  The only thing in question is the manner in which they break my heart this year (more on that later)

    2. Jodi’s Steelers – She’ll have household bragging rights (again).  I see the Steelers winning the AFC North with minimal competition this year.  The Steelers make it back to the AFC Championship game for the second year in a row.

    3. Playoff teams from 2011 that won’t get back to the playoffs this season:

    • Seattle – got lucky last year, won’t happen 2 years in a row
    • Chicago – their defence looks old and overrated, their OL is brutal, they have a QB who I don’t trust and I still don’t know how they won 13 games last year
    • Indianapolis – even if Manning is healthy, they made some head scratching personnel choices: when you sign Ernie Simms as a key part of your linebacking core, you’re got issues
    • Kansas City – they got lucky during a down year in their division last year, lightning doesn’t strike twice in a row

    4. Teams that missed the playoffs in 2010 who make it this year:

    • Detroit – ferocious DL and under-rated linebackers and DBs, an emerging QB who if he stays healthy is going to impress
    • Arizona – they play in a terrible division and although everyone is on the Rams to win the NFC West, I like the pairing of Kolb-Fitzgerald to put up lots of points this year.
    • Tennessee – I think they have one of the best O-lines in the league, they can run the ball and have a veteran presence at QB.  They pull the upset and take the AFC South
    • San Diego – everyone is on their bandwagon and I am too, plus they play in a bad division

    5. A few assorted player and team predictions:

    • Tim Tebow doesn’t see a snap this year for the Broncos.  He won’t be back with them next year. The Broncos wasted an entire year’s draft last year – the Tebow pick was just the most visible of a bunch of bad selections.
    • Iron man streaks for Eli and Peyton Manning both come to an end this year
    • Brett Favre makes a November comeback for some team with playoff hopes that lost its starting QB to injury for the season
    • Baltimore’s defence takes a big step back this year.  Ray Lewis gets exposed as a very aging LB.  They miss the playoffs.
    • In the first 4 weeks of the season, someone gets a precedent setting 4 game suspension for targeting an opponent’s head.  The NFL finally takes a real stand on head injuries.
    • Ben Roethlisberger has a monster season for Pittsburgh.  He was good before he even realized what practice was.  Look out this year.
    • The Cincinnati Bengals end up dead last in the league in offensive production and tops in the league in defensive production and play some of the lowest scoring football ever seen.
    • Colt McCoy starts to look like a franchise QB for Cleveland.
    • The once proud Oakland Raiders will have one of the top running games in the league, but without the ability to stop anyone on defence, they end up with 4 or 5 wins.
    • Julius Peppers (Chicago) becomes invisible this year after a monster year last year

    6. Division predictions:

    AFC East: Patriots, Jets, Bills, Dolphins

    AFC North: Steelers, Ravens, Browns, Bengals

    AFC South: Titans, Texans, Colts, Jags

    AFC West: Chargers, Chiefs, Broncos, Raiders

    NFC East: EAGLES, Cowboys, Redskins, Giants

    NFC North: Packers, Lions, Vikings, Bears

    NFC South: Falcons, Saints, Bucs, Panthers

    NFC West: Cardinals, Rams, 49ers, Seahawks

    So given I’m taking Philly to win their division, it begs the question – how will they break my heart in the playoffs?  I see a close playoff match up with New Orleans.  Game tied at 24 late in the 4th quarter.   Andy Reid will have used all three time-outs early in the 3rd quarter due to his lackluster game management.  Drew Brees throws a ball over the middle, the ball pops up in the air and is ruled to have fallen to the ground incomplete.  A quick TV replay shows Eagles middle linebacker Casey Matthews clearly catching the pass for an interception, but without any timeouts left, the Eagles can’t challenge the ruling on the field.  Four plays later, Brees completes a last second pass to the end zone for a 31-24 win.  If you think I’m exaggerating, ask any Eagles fan what will cost us a trip to the Super Bowl this year and I bet more than half will bring up Andy Reid’s game management as a likely cause.

    I think I’m ready for some football, but maybe not as much as the guy on the right…